Monday, October 24, 2016

Global Warming/Climate Change interaction

Climate change is real.
Just like tobacco companies spent decades buying scientists and politicians to muddy and confuse the evidence on smoking, oil companies have bought scientists and politicians to muddy and confuse the evidence on climate change.
They are helped by legions of Christians systematically taught to distrust facts and condemn evidence as elitist. An analogy - the evidence is solid that the age of the earth is approximately 4.6 billion years old. Scientists can explain the myriad types of evidence that support this conclusion and discuss the changes the earth went through in each era. Likewise, the continental US is approximately 3000 miles across, but of course this number varies depending on exactly where one measures. Let's say someone said "See. See. The number for the width of the US changes. I'm going to ignore evidence for the width of the US and go with my number." To be as wrong as 6k years versus 4.6 billion years, this person would have to believe the US is 19 feet from coast to coast. Consider the massive and overwhelming evidence they would glibly ignore to believe that the width of the continental US is less than 20% of the length of a football field.
Science denial and glorification of ignorance is a threat to our existence. Evidence matters. The evidence for human influenced climate change exists and is conclusive.
The author is right. There are a dozen good reasons to care for our planet. Pick any reason you like. But pick at least one because this planet is the only one we have.
There is no need for conspiratorial theories here. Climate change is real, its been going on for a few billion years. The argument is whether hydrocarbons have had an impact. Models exist in both directions, and differ in their conclusions. Science is trial and error. We once believed the Sun circled the earth, it was "established" science, and the establishment (Church) killed people who disagreed with this "truth". Science is also not up for a vote. Newtonian physics was and is used by the vast majority of Engineers and scientists, but its wrong, as Einstenian physics have shown.
Have patience, tend God's garden, and fill the earth.
Virtually every climate scientist agrees that the global warming we are experiencing for the last 100 years or so is at least in part due to human activity, and in large part due to the massive increases in the burning of hydrocarbons.
Your arguments are specious. 4th and 3rd C. BCE Greek scientists proposed a heliocentric theory. It was always religious superstition that held back this knowledge. And Einsteinian Physics does not refute Newtonian Physics. It improves on it and applies to particle behavior that Newton was not describing.
Virtually every scientist in the 4th & 3rd century were wrong, but not because of superstition, because of lack of complete knowledge. In Akkad, 1500 years earlier, a kind of copernican view was held. Our Pythagorean equations come from the Fourth Century. No need to disparage those scientist.
Newton believed the speed of light to be infinite, and based his f=ma physics on that fact. He was wrong, and investigations of anomalies in Mercury lead to Einstein's equations. No need to disparage him either.
There haven't been level 3 Hurricane touching the US for 11 years, even though global warming suggested increases. The number of global hurricanes (monsoons, etc.) has also decreased. New facts change old theories.
I don't believe in the planned mitigation of Global warming, since we are probably at the beginning of a cooling trend (thought so by "most scientists" only 30 years ago). We certainly need to take good care of the Earth, and mitigate carbon and other chemical and human introduced imbalances. But we do not need to hand over our Economy, or our governance to international bodies that do not represent us, and we are not facing an immediate and present danger.


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